Rest of Season Projection
AroldisCategorySeranthony
55K ←47
3.70ERA ←3.73
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →3–7
17–31SV ←13–24
Current Season
AroldisCategorySeranthony
25K →28
0.48ERA ←3.97
0.86WHIP ←1.15
0W →3
12SV ←11
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aroldis Chapman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.231 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.94 is 2.46 above the ERA — regression coming
Seranthony Domínguez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.11 is 1.14 above the ERA — regression coming
Chapman projects for 55 K vs Domínguez's 47; both carry identical 1.24 WHIP and similar 3.70/3.73 ERA. The K edge sets Chapman apart.