Rest of Season Projection
AJCategoryTim
36K ←31
3.77ERA →3.70
1.29WHIP →1.24
1–4W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AJCategoryTim
28K ←16
4.42ERA →3.32
1.31WHIP ←1.63
2W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
AJ Blubaugh
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.14)
Tim Herrin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.52 is 0.52 above the ERA — regression coming
AJ Blubaugh: 36 K / 3.77 ERA. Tim Herrin: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

