MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
AJ Smith-Shawver
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

AJ Smith-Shawver.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Michael McGreevy’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

AJ Smith-Shawver wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Michael McGreevy wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
96.0
Michael McGreevy
91.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
11.5%
Michael McGreevy
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
17.5%
Michael McGreevy
16.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
28.9%
Michael McGreevy
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
38.0%
Michael McGreevy
41.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
8.5%
Michael McGreevy
9.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.336
Michael McGreevy
.352
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
2.205.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.15
4.10
Michael McGreevy
2.205.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.98
4.92
WHIPlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.9901.49
now 1.38
1.30
Michael McGreevy
.9901.49
now 1.10
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
4060
now 4
10
Michael McGreevy
4060
now 44
9
Winshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.0004.20
now 0
00
Michael McGreevy
.0004.20
now 3
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAJ Smith-Shawver — hold.conf 0.50
SellMichael McGreevy — sell.conf 0.90
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