MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
AJ Smith-Shawver
ATL · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shane Baz.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Baz wins 2 categories (K, ERA); AJ Smith-Shawver wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
96.0
Shane Baz
95.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
11.5%
Shane Baz
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
17.5%
Shane Baz
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
28.9%
Shane Baz
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
38.0%
Shane Baz
41.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
8.5%
Shane Baz
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.336
Shane Baz
.310
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
3.814.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.15
4.10
Shane Baz
3.814.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.03
WHIPlower is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
1.231.50
now 1.38
1.30
Shane Baz
1.231.50
now 1.43
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
4078.20
now 4
10
Shane Baz
4078.20
now 57
12
Winshigher is better
AJ Smith-Shawver
.0002.80
now 0
00
Shane Baz
.0002.80
now 2
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAJ Smith-Shawver — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · steadyShane Baz — hold.conf 0.60
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