Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryRyan
26K →37
3.71ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W ←0–0
1–4SV →4–8
Current Season
AlbertCategoryRyan
10K →14
2.61ERA ←6.46
1.21WHIP ←1.89
2W ←0
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.15 is 0.75 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryan Walker
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.12 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Albert Suárez: 26 K / 3.71 ERA. Ryan Walker: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).