Rest of Season Projection
AlecCategoryDominic
12HR ←9
40R →46
58RBI ←55
3SB ←0
.283AVG →.297
Current Season
AlecCategoryDominic
7HR ←5
26R ←21
38RBI ←25
2SB ←0
.281AVG →.325
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alec Burleson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.371, +0.056 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Dominic Smith
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.362)
Alec Burleson: 12 HR / 40 R. Dominic Smith: 9 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).