MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STL · 1B
Change to
Lars Nootbaar
AZ · DH
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Lars Nootbaar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs and RBI. Alec Burleson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Lars Nootbaar wins 2 categories (R, RBI); Alec Burleson wins 1 (AVG); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Alec Burleson
92.0
Lars Nootbaar
92.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Alec Burleson
49.8%
Lars Nootbaar
49.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Alec Burleson
11.1%
Lars Nootbaar
9.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Alec Burleson
38.0%
Lars Nootbaar
19.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Alec Burleson
11.8%
Lars Nootbaar
6.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Alec Burleson
.376
Lars Nootbaar
.343
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Alec Burleson
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .281
.275
Lars Nootbaar
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .429
.223

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Alec Burleson
59.40
now 7
1
Lars Nootbaar
59.40
now 1
1
Runshigher is better
Alec Burleson
2035.60
now 26
5
Lars Nootbaar
2035.60
now 2
9
RBIhigher is better
Alec Burleson
2052
now 38
7
Lars Nootbaar
2052
now 3
13
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Alec Burleson
.0003.20
now 2
0
Lars Nootbaar
.0003.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAlec Burleson — buy.conf 0.72
BuyLars Nootbaar — buy.conf 0.66
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