MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Portrait of Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHC · 3B
Change to
Royce Lewis
MIN · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Royce Lewis.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and steals. Alex Bregman’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Royce Lewis wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, SB); Alex Bregman wins 2 (R, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Alex Bregman
87.8
Royce Lewis
89.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Alex Bregman
36.3%
Royce Lewis
42.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Alex Bregman
4.3%
Royce Lewis
11.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Alex Bregman
21.9%
Royce Lewis
31.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Alex Bregman
6.7%
Royce Lewis
16.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Alex Bregman
.307
Royce Lewis
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Alex Bregman
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .259
.228
Royce Lewis
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .159
.207

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Alex Bregman
56.20
now 5
2
Royce Lewis
56.20
now 3
3
Runshigher is better
Alex Bregman
2034.80
now 28
17
Royce Lewis
2034.80
now 11
12
RBIhigher is better
Alex Bregman
2021.20
now 18
11
Royce Lewis
2021.20
now 13
14
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Alex Bregman
.0004.20
now 2
1
Royce Lewis
.0004.20
now 3
3
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAlex Bregman — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyRoyce Lewis — hold.conf 0.60
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