Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryNathan
4HR4
40R ←26
43RBI ←29
0SB0
.248AVG →.314
Current Season
AlexCategoryNathan
0HR0
12R ←8
13RBI ←9
0SB0
.290AVG →.301
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
Nathan Lukes
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.332)
Alex Call: 4 HR / 40 R. Nathan Lukes: 4 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).