MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland
LAD · 2B
Change to
Josh Smith
TEX · 2B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Alex Freeland wins 2 (R, RBI); Josh Smith wins 2 (SB, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Alex Freeland
88.7
Josh Smith
87.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Alex Freeland
37.1%
Josh Smith
31.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Alex Freeland
5.3%
Josh Smith
5.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Alex Freeland
22.6%
Josh Smith
35.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Alex Freeland
12.2%
Josh Smith
10.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Alex Freeland
.276
Josh Smith
.274
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Alex Freeland
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .234
.199
Josh Smith
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .217
.214

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Alex Freeland
54.20
now 3
2
Josh Smith
54.20
now 0
2
Runshigher is better
Alex Freeland
2017.20
now 13
14
Josh Smith
2017.20
now 6
7
RBIhigher is better
Alex Freeland
2014.20
now 10
11
Josh Smith
2014.20
now 6
7
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Alex Freeland
.0003.20
now 0
0
Josh Smith
.0003.20
now 2
2
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAlex Freeland — sell.conf 0.63
Hold · wait & seeJosh Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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