MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Alex Lange
Alex Lange
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Alex Lange’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

José Alvarado wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Alex Lange wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Lange
95.9
José Alvarado
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
12.7%
José Alvarado
12.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
21.8%
José Alvarado
25.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Lange
29.6%
José Alvarado
31.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
43.8%
José Alvarado
31.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
13.6%
José Alvarado
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Lange
.353
José Alvarado
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Lange
3.326.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
4.83
José Alvarado
3.326.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.97
WHIPlower is better
Alex Lange
1.171.99
now 1.35
1.44
José Alvarado
1.171.99
now 1.81
1.40

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Lange
4036.40
now 26
0
José Alvarado
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Alex Lange
.0001.48
now 0
0–0
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAlex Lange — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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