MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Portrait of Alex Lange
Alex Lange
KC · P
Change to
Matt Svanson
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Alex Lange wins 1 (ERA); Matt Svanson wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Lange
95.9
Matt Svanson
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
12.7%
Matt Svanson
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Lange
21.8%
Matt Svanson
19.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Lange
29.6%
Matt Svanson
25.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
43.8%
Matt Svanson
44.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Lange
13.6%
Matt Svanson
7.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Lange
.353
Matt Svanson
.369
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Lange
2.798.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
4.83
Matt Svanson
2.798.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.77
5.21
WHIPlower is better
Alex Lange
1.112.19
now 1.35
1.44
Matt Svanson
1.112.19
now 1.95
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Lange
4036.40
now 26
0
Matt Svanson
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Alex Lange
.0001.48
now 0
0–0
Matt Svanson
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAlex Lange — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellMatt Svanson — hold.conf 0.60
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