Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryTyler
40K ←36
3.75ERA →3.72
1.25WHIP1.25
0–0W →1–2
0SV0
Current Season
AlexCategoryTyler
26K ←24
4.50ERA →4.23
1.35WHIP ←1.37
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Lange
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.68)
Tyler Holton
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.00 sits 0.10 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Alex Lange: 40 K / 3.75 ERA. Tyler Holton: 36 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).