Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryKyle
81K →88
4.61ERA ←5.49
1.46WHIP →1.42
4–9W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryKyle
42K →46
4.02ERA ←4.25
1.44WHIP ←1.56
4W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Abbott
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.88 +0.78 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kyle Leahy
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 6.24 +2.14 vs league with no luck excuse
Leahy projects for 88 K / 5.49 ERA to Abbott's 81 K / 4.61 ERA. The K edge is narrow, but the ERA gap (0.88 runs) defines the pitcher. Both sell verdicts confirm the production fade.