MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Brennan Bernardino
Brennan Bernardino
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Brennan Bernardino’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Brennan Bernardino wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Brennan Bernardino
90.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.0%
Brennan Bernardino
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
23.0%
Brennan Bernardino
18.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.7%
Brennan Bernardino
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.9%
Brennan Bernardino
30.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.5%
Brennan Bernardino
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.327
Brennan Bernardino
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.484.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.23
Brennan Bernardino
3.484.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.70
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.161.48
now 1.28
1.41
Brennan Bernardino
1.161.48
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4034
now 17
28
Brennan Bernardino
4034
now 18
13
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.5202.48
now 1
12
Brennan Bernardino
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.40
now 1
13
Brennan Bernardino
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAndrew Alvarez — sell.conf 0.67
Hold · wait & seeBrennan Bernardino — hold.conf 0.50
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