MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Lake Bachar’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Lake Bachar wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Lake Bachar
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.0%
Lake Bachar
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
23.0%
Lake Bachar
25.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.7%
Lake Bachar
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.9%
Lake Bachar
36.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.5%
Lake Bachar
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.327
Lake Bachar
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.224.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.23
Lake Bachar
3.224.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
3.51
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9001.57
now 1.28
1.41
Lake Bachar
.9001.57
now 1.01
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4038
now 17
28
Lake Bachar
4038
now 32
21
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0002.80
now 1
12
Lake Bachar
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.40
now 1
13
Lake Bachar
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAndrew Alvarez — sell.conf 0.67
BuyLake Bachar — buy.conf 0.78
Tweet