Who's more valuable, rest of season
Andrew Alvarez.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Graham Ashcraft’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
◀
SV
Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Graham Ashcraft wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Graham Ashcraft
98.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.4%
Graham Ashcraft
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.4%
Graham Ashcraft
29.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
31.2%
Graham Ashcraft
33.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
41.7%
Graham Ashcraft
36.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
4.7%
Graham Ashcraft
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.313
Graham Ashcraft
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.054.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
3.95
Graham Ashcraft
3.054.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.151.42
now 1.28
1.35
Graham Ashcraft
1.151.42
now 1.22
1.26
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4049.20
now 17
40
Graham Ashcraft
4049.20
now 32
23
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.20
now 1
1–4
Graham Ashcraft
.0005.20
now 1
1–1
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
1–4
Graham Ashcraft
.0005.60
now 1
0–2
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeGraham Ashcraft — hold.conf 0.50