MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Peyton Gray
Peyton Gray
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Peyton Gray wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Peyton Gray
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.4%
Peyton Gray
13.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.4%
Peyton Gray
26.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
31.2%
Peyton Gray
34.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
41.7%
Peyton Gray
34.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
4.7%
Peyton Gray
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.313
Peyton Gray
.265
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.354.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
3.95
Peyton Gray
3.354.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.57
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.171.42
now 1.28
1.35
Peyton Gray
1.171.42
now 1.30
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4049.20
now 17
40
Peyton Gray
4049.20
now 18
26
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.20
now 1
14
Peyton Gray
.0005.20
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Peyton Gray
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seePeyton Gray — hold.conf 0.50
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