MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 15, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Hoby Milner
Hoby Milner
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Hoby Milner’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Hoby Milner wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Hoby Milner
87.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Hoby Milner
7.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Hoby Milner
12.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Hoby Milner
28.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Hoby Milner
37.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Hoby Milner
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Hoby Milner
.351
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
24.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Hoby Milner
24.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.49
3.78
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9001.49
now 1.28
1.36
Hoby Milner
.9001.49
now 1.03
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4047
now 17
37
Hoby Milner
4047
now 12
16
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.20
now 1
13
Hoby Milner
.0004.20
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Hoby Milner
.0005.60
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighHoby Milner — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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