MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Gavin Collyer
Gavin Collyer
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Gavin Collyer wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Gavin Collyer
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Gavin Collyer
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Gavin Collyer
21.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Gavin Collyer
21.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Gavin Collyer
25.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Gavin Collyer
1.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Gavin Collyer
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.484.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Gavin Collyer
3.484.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.71
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.171.48
now 1.28
1.36
Gavin Collyer
1.171.48
now 1.41
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4047.20
now 17
38
Gavin Collyer
4047.20
now 15
19
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.2003.80
now 1
13
Gavin Collyer
.2003.80
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Gavin Collyer
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeGavin Collyer — hold.conf 0.50
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