MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Portrait of Gavin Collyer
Gavin Collyer
TEX · P
Change to
Nick Davila
SEA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gavin Collyer.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins. Nick Davila’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Gavin Collyer wins 2 categories (K, W); Nick Davila wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
97.4
Nick Davila
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
9.9%
Nick Davila
8.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
21.6%
Nick Davila
11.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
21.5%
Nick Davila
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gavin Collyer
25.9%
Nick Davila
22.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gavin Collyer
1.9%
Nick Davila
1.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gavin Collyer
.303
Nick Davila
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gavin Collyer
25.19
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.71
3.70
Nick Davila
25.19
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Gavin Collyer
1.121.49
now 1.41
1.24
Nick Davila
1.121.49
now 1.20
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gavin Collyer
4024.60
now 15
19
Nick Davila
4024.60
now 5
14
Winshigher is better
Gavin Collyer
.0002.80
now 1
12
Nick Davila
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Gavin Collyer
.0005.60
now 0
0
Nick Davila
.0005.60
now 1
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGavin Collyer — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighNick Davila — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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