MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Nick Davila
SEA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 2 (K, W); Nick Davila wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Nick Davila
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Nick Davila
8.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Nick Davila
11.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Nick Davila
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Nick Davila
22.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Nick Davila
1.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Nick Davila
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
25.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Nick Davila
25.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.131.43
now 1.28
1.36
Nick Davila
1.131.43
now 1.20
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4051.20
now 17
38
Nick Davila
4051.20
now 5
14
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.20
now 1
13
Nick Davila
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.40
now 1
14
Nick Davila
.0005.40
now 1
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighNick Davila — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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