MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 6, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Thompson
Ryan Thompson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Ryan Thompson’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Ryan Thompson wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Ryan Thompson
91.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.1%
Ryan Thompson
9.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
22.8%
Ryan Thompson
15.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.4%
Ryan Thompson
35.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.6%
Ryan Thompson
34.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.0%
Ryan Thompson
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.328
Ryan Thompson
.311
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
2.154.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.25
Ryan Thompson
2.154.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.071.51
now 1.28
1.41
Ryan Thompson
1.071.51
now 1.17
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4033.80
now 17
27
Ryan Thompson
4033.80
now 12
10
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.5202.48
now 1
12
Ryan Thompson
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.40
now 1
13
Ryan Thompson
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAndrew Alvarez — sell.conf 0.69
Buy LowRyan Thompson — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.71
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