MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Samy Natera Jr.
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Samy Natera Jr. wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Samy Natera Jr.
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.1%
Samy Natera Jr.
16.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
22.8%
Samy Natera Jr.
38.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.4%
Samy Natera Jr.
27.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.6%
Samy Natera Jr.
30.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.0%
Samy Natera Jr.
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.328
Samy Natera Jr.
.225
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
25.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.25
Samy Natera Jr.
25.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9001.77
now 1.28
1.41
Samy Natera Jr.
.9001.77
now 0.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4036.60
now 17
27
Samy Natera Jr.
4036.60
now 3
24
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0002.80
now 1
12
Samy Natera Jr.
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.40
now 1
13
Samy Natera Jr.
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAndrew Alvarez — sell.conf 0.69
Hold · wait & seeSamy Natera Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
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