Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryRyan
44K ←22
3.73ERA →3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W →3–8
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryRyan
27K ←16
5.16ERA →2.89
1.41WHIP →1.39
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Nardi
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.08)
Ryan Rolison
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.09 is 1.84 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Nardi: 44 K / 3.73 ERA. Ryan Rolison: 22 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).