Rest of Season Projection
AngelCategoryLuke
7HR →14
40R →41
48RBI →57
13SB ←2
.224AVG →.232
Current Season
AngelCategoryLuke
9HR →13
24R ←22
29RBI →31
8SB ←1
.243AVG →.276
What Each Player's System Trusts
Angel Martínez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.297 below league with no luck excuse
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.377, +0.062 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Angel Martínez: 7 HR / 40 R. Luke Raley: 14 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).