Rest of Season Projection
AngelCategoryTroy
7HR →8
41R ←38
49RBI ←41
14SB ←5
.226AVG →.295
Current Season
AngelCategoryTroy
9HR ←2
24R ←23
29RBI ←25
8SB ←3
.243AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Angel Martínez
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.399 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.329 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Angel Martínez: 7 HR / 41 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).