MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Austin Hays
SD · LF
Change to
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Esmerlyn Valdez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Austin Hays’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Esmerlyn Valdez wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Austin Hays wins 1 (AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Hays
86.0
Esmerlyn Valdez
91.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Hays
39.7%
Esmerlyn Valdez
48.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Hays
3.4%
Esmerlyn Valdez
20.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Hays
37.6%
Esmerlyn Valdez
20.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Hays
18.4%
Esmerlyn Valdez
16.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Hays
.273
Esmerlyn Valdez
.330
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Hays
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .233
.251
Esmerlyn Valdez
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .111
.151

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Hays
53.20
now 1
0
Esmerlyn Valdez
53.20
now 2
1
Runshigher is better
Austin Hays
206.20
now 3
2
Esmerlyn Valdez
206.20
now 2
3
RBIhigher is better
Austin Hays
2011.20
now 7
6
Esmerlyn Valdez
2011.20
now 5
8
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Hays
.0001.20
now 0
0
Esmerlyn Valdez
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAustin Hays — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighEsmerlyn Valdez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.74
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