MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Austin Hays
SD · LF
Change to
Nathan Church
STL · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Austin Hays wins 2 (RBI, AVG); Nathan Church wins 2 (R, SB); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Hays
86.0
Nathan Church
85.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Hays
39.7%
Nathan Church
29.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Hays
3.4%
Nathan Church
5.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Hays
37.6%
Nathan Church
42.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Hays
18.4%
Nathan Church
11.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Hays
.273
Nathan Church
.282
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Hays
.210.280
lg AVG .295
now .233
.251
Nathan Church
.210.280
lg AVG .295
now .260
.222

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Hays
57
now 1
0
Nathan Church
57
now 5
0
Runshigher is better
Austin Hays
2024.40
now 3
2
Nathan Church
2024.40
now 18
4
RBIhigher is better
Austin Hays
2023.60
now 7
6
Nathan Church
2023.60
now 18
4
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Hays
.0005.60
now 0
0
Nathan Church
.0005.60
now 4
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAustin Hays — hold.conf 0.50
SellNathan Church — sell.conf 0.62
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