MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHI · CF
Change to
Nathan Church
STL · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Church.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Church wins 2 categories (R, RBI); Justin Crawford wins 1 (AVG); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
87.3
Nathan Church
85.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
36.2%
Nathan Church
29.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Justin Crawford
1.3%
Nathan Church
5.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
37.5%
Nathan Church
42.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Justin Crawford
9.8%
Nathan Church
11.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Justin Crawford
.281
Nathan Church
.282
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Justin Crawford
.210.280
lg AVG .295
now .234
.248
Nathan Church
.210.280
lg AVG .295
now .260
.222

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
57
now 2
0
Nathan Church
57
now 5
0
Runshigher is better
Justin Crawford
2024
now 14
3
Nathan Church
2024
now 18
4
RBIhigher is better
Justin Crawford
2024
now 12
3
Nathan Church
2024
now 18
4
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Justin Crawford
.0009.40
now 7
1
Nathan Church
.0009.40
now 4
1
If you already own them — trade angle
SellJustin Crawford — sell.conf 0.62
SellNathan Church — sell.conf 0.62
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