Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryRyan
3HR →4
34R ←23
26RBI →51
12SB ←5
.237AVG.238
Current Season
AustinCategoryRyan
2HR →3
22R ←9
17RBI →20
8SB ←2
.262AVG →.278
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Martin
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.313)
Ryan Vilade
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.338 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.309 is 0.048 below the surface — regression coming
Both project near .237 AVG. Martin's 34 R / 12 SB outpaces Vilade's 23 R / 5 SB. Sell Vilade; hold Martin.