Rest of Season Projection
BrentonCategoryRyan
6HR ←4
43R ←23
8RBI →51
19SB ←5
.200AVG →.238
Current Season
BrentonCategoryRyan
1HR →3
21R ←9
4RBI →20
9SB ←2
.207AVG →.278
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brenton Doyle
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.248)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ryan Vilade
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.338 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.309 is 0.048 below the surface — regression coming
Brenton Doyle: 6 HR / 43 R. Ryan Vilade: 4 HR / 23 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).