Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryKazuma
15HR15
47R ←44
50RBI →52
5SB ←0
.210AVG ←.202
Current Season
AustinCategoryKazuma
8HR →12
30R ←28
32RBI →33
3SB ←0
.209AVG →.214
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Riley
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Kazuma Okamoto
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.332, +0.017 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Austin Riley: 15 HR / 47 R. Kazuma Okamoto: 15 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).