MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATL · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TOR · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Austin Riley wins 2 (R, SB); Kazuma Okamoto wins 2 (HR, RBI); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Riley
90.2
Kazuma Okamoto
91.4
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
42.2%
Kazuma Okamoto
47.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
10.1%
Kazuma Okamoto
14.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Riley
32.3%
Kazuma Okamoto
26.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Riley
15.4%
Kazuma Okamoto
15.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Riley
.292
Kazuma Okamoto
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Riley
.200.230
lg AVG .295
now .209
.201
Kazuma Okamoto
.200.230
lg AVG .295
now .214
.200

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
514.40
now 8
6
Kazuma Okamoto
514.40
now 12
7
Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
2033.20
now 30
23
Kazuma Okamoto
2033.20
now 28
22
RBIhigher is better
Austin Riley
21.8036.20
now 32
25
Kazuma Okamoto
21.8036.20
now 33
26
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Riley
.0004.20
now 3
2
Kazuma Okamoto
.0004.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAustin Riley — sell.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyKazuma Okamoto — hold.conf 0.60
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