Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryHarrison
6HR6
20R →23
8RBI →33
8SB ←0
.184AVG →.190
Current Season
AustinCategoryHarrison
0HR →5
5R →10
2RBI →14
2SB ←0
.217AVG ←.170
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Slater
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.210)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.316 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Harrison Bader
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.191 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Austin Slater: 6 HR / 20 R. Harrison Bader: 6 HR / 24 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).