Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryJosé
6HR ←0
20R ←11
8RBI →26
8SB ←0
.184AVG →.193
Current Season
AustinCategoryJosé
0HR →2
5R ←4
2RBI →9
2SB ←0
.217AVG.217
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Slater
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.210)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.316 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
José Fermín
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.296 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.259 is 0.055 below the surface — regression coming
Austin Slater: 6 HR / 20 R. José Fermín: 0 HR / 12 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).