MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Portrait of Austin Warren
Austin Warren
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Austin Warren.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Justin Sterner’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Austin Warren wins 1 categories (K); Justin Sterner wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Austin Warren
93.9
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
10.7%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
23.6%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.8%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
42.4%
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
13.1%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Austin Warren
.350
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Austin Warren
24.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.33
3.70
Justin Sterner
24.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Austin Warren
1.041.31
now 1.13
1.24
Justin Sterner
1.041.31
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Austin Warren
4031.60
now 22
17
Justin Sterner
4031.60
now 26
16
Winshigher is better
Austin Warren
.0002.80
now 1
01
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAustin Warren — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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