MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Portrait of Austin Warren
Austin Warren
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Thompson
Ryan Thompson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Austin Warren wins 1 (K); Ryan Thompson wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Austin Warren
93.9
Ryan Thompson
91.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
11.0%
Ryan Thompson
8.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
25.9%
Ryan Thompson
15.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.3%
Ryan Thompson
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
41.9%
Ryan Thompson
35.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
11.6%
Ryan Thompson
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Austin Warren
.329
Ryan Thompson
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Austin Warren
24.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.33
3.70
Ryan Thompson
24.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Austin Warren
1.061.31
now 1.13
1.24
Ryan Thompson
1.061.31
now 1.17
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Austin Warren
4033
now 22
27
Ryan Thompson
4033
now 12
18
Winshigher is better
Austin Warren
.0005.20
now 1
12
Ryan Thompson
.0005.20
now 2
14

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighAustin Warren — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeRyan Thompson — hold.conf 0.50
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