MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Portrait of Graham Ashcraft
Graham Ashcraft
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Thompson
Ryan Thompson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Graham Ashcraft.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves. Ryan Thompson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Graham Ashcraft wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Ryan Thompson wins 2 (WHIP, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
98.0
Ryan Thompson
91.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
14.7%
Ryan Thompson
8.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
29.4%
Ryan Thompson
15.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
33.3%
Ryan Thompson
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Graham Ashcraft
36.1%
Ryan Thompson
35.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Graham Ashcraft
6.6%
Ryan Thompson
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Graham Ashcraft
.287
Ryan Thompson
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Graham Ashcraft
2.374.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.68
Ryan Thompson
2.374.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Graham Ashcraft
1.101.33
now 1.22
1.26
Ryan Thompson
1.101.33
now 1.17
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Graham Ashcraft
4040
now 32
25
Ryan Thompson
4040
now 12
18
Winshigher is better
Graham Ashcraft
.0005.20
now 1
12
Ryan Thompson
.0005.20
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Graham Ashcraft
.0003.40
now 1
02
Ryan Thompson
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGraham Ashcraft — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRyan Thompson — hold.conf 0.50
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