MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 3, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Graham Ashcraft
Graham Ashcraft
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Graham Ashcraft.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Brad Lord’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Graham Ashcraft wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Brad Lord wins 2 (K, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Graham Ashcraft
98.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Graham Ashcraft
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.8%
Graham Ashcraft
29.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.4%
Graham Ashcraft
33.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.4%
Graham Ashcraft
36.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.6%
Graham Ashcraft
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.307
Graham Ashcraft
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
2.224.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
3.82
Graham Ashcraft
2.224.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.42
now 1.00
1.30
Graham Ashcraft
.9001.42
now 1.22
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4037.60
now 31
30
Graham Ashcraft
4037.60
now 32
25
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0006.60
now 3
25
Graham Ashcraft
.0006.60
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0003.40
now 0
0
Graham Ashcraft
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBrad Lord — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.93
Hold · wait & seeGraham Ashcraft — hold.conf 0.50
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