Rest of Season Projection
BrennanCategoryRyan
37K ←27
3.68ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W →2–6
0SV0
Current Season
BrennanCategoryRyan
18K ←12
3.70ERA →2.75
1.23WHIP →1.17
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brennan Bernardino
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.15)
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.262 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.66 is 1.13 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Brennan Bernardino: 37 K / 3.68 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).