Rest of Season Projection
BrockCategoryRyan
45K ←27
3.76ERA →3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
1–3W →2–6
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
BrockCategoryRyan
27K ←12
3.62ERA →2.75
1.39WHIP →1.17
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brock Burke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.66 is 1.17 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.262 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.66 is 1.13 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Brock Burke: 45 K / 3.76 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).