Rest of Season Projection
EricCategoryRyan
37K ←27
3.69ERA3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
2–4W →2–6
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
EricCategoryRyan
25K ←12
3.95ERA →2.75
1.39WHIP →1.17
2W2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eric Orze
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.59)
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.262 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.66 is 1.13 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Eric Orze: 37 K / 3.69 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 27 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).