Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryCarter
9HR9
30R →39
14RBI →44
0SB0
.205AVG ←.183
Current Season
AustinCategoryCarter
4HR →7
15R →23
7RBI →26
0SB0
.178AVG →.223
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Wells
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.213 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.275 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Austin Wells: 9 HR / 30 R. Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).