Rest of Season Projection
CarterCategoryDaniel
9HR ←6
39R ←15
44RBI ←41
0SB0
.183AVG →.288
Current Season
CarterCategoryDaniel
7HR ←0
23R ←4
26RBI ←11
0SB0
.223AVG →.293
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.275 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Daniel Susac
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.426 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.324 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 39 R. Daniel Susac: 6 HR / 15 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).