Rest of Season Projection
CarterCategoryHenry
9HR9
39R ←27
44RBI ←27
0SB →2
.183AVG →.201
Current Season
CarterCategoryHenry
7HR ←4
23R ←12
26RBI ←12
0SB →1
.223AVG ←.139
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.275 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Henry Davis
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.140 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 39 R. Henry Davis: 9 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

