Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryJoey
7HR ←6
26R →32
12RBI →21
0SB0
.198AVG →.199
Current Season
AustinCategoryJoey
4HR ←2
15R ←9
7RBI ←6
0SB0
.178AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Wells
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.206 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Joey Bart
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.361 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.256 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Austin Wells: 7 HR / 27 R. Joey Bart: 6 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).