Rest of Season Projection
JoeyCategoryNick
6HR ←2
32R ←20
21RBI →24
0SB0
.199AVG →.257
Current Season
JoeyCategoryNick
2HR ←1
9R →11
6RBI →13
0SB0
.259AVG ←.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joey Bart
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.361 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.256 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Nick Fortes
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.286 below league with no luck excuse
Joey Bart: 6 HR / 32 R. Nick Fortes: 2 HR / 21 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).