Rest of Season Projection
JoeyCategoryMiguel
6HR ←5
32R →36
21RBI →22
0SB0
.199AVG ←.190
Current Season
JoeyCategoryMiguel
2HR →3
9R →15
6RBI →9
0SB0
.259AVG ←.217
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joey Bart
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.361 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.256 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Miguel Amaya
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.298)
Joey Bart: 6 HR / 32 R. Miguel Amaya: 5 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).