Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryJoey
6HR6
30R →32
6RBI →21
2SB ←0
.217AVG ←.199
Current Season
CarlosCategoryJoey
2HR2
14R ←9
3RBI →6
1SB ←0
.220AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Narváez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.282)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Joey Bart
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.361 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.256 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Carlos Narváez: 6 HR / 30 R. Joey Bart: 6 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).