MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 4, 2026
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor McDonald
Trevor McDonald
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bailey Ober wins 2 (WHIP, W); Trevor McDonald wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bailey Ober
88.5
Trevor McDonald
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
9.6%
Trevor McDonald
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
16.4%
Trevor McDonald
20.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bailey Ober
30.1%
Trevor McDonald
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
32.7%
Trevor McDonald
39.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bailey Ober
9.8%
Trevor McDonald
4.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bailey Ober
.323
Trevor McDonald
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bailey Ober
3.584.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.27
Trevor McDonald
3.584.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.34
3.87
WHIPlower is better
Bailey Ober
.9701.43
now 1.22
1.31
Trevor McDonald
.9701.43
now 1.07
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bailey Ober
4073.20
now 46
58
Trevor McDonald
4073.20
now 27
60
Winshigher is better
Bailey Ober
.00011.80
now 6
49
Trevor McDonald
.00011.80
now 2
36

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellBailey Ober — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyTrevor McDonald — hold.conf 0.60
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